Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 0.190890 0.220397 0.254402 0.296822 0.348790 0.410994 0.492018
2025-03-30 0.143804 0.180380 0.227443 0.293811 0.387314 0.518100 0.722068
2025-04-06 0.118851 0.158300 0.213379 0.298823 0.433803 0.650030 1.049352
2025-04-13 0.100269 0.139549 0.197838 0.295176 0.463832 0.767001 1.419943
2025-04-20 0.088891 0.128417 0.190233 0.300445 0.508361 0.926015 1.979741
2025-04-27 0.080707 0.120421 0.185456 0.308447 0.559587 1.121649 2.793506
2025-05-04 0.073948 0.113449 0.180783 0.314998 0.609766 1.341627 3.920413
2025-05-11 0.068672 0.108054 0.177707 0.323571 0.667291 1.614803 5.626205
2025-05-18 0.063620 0.102284 0.172867 0.327215 0.714720 1.892979 7.898426
2025-05-25 0.059088 0.096819 0.167669 0.328785 0.757769 2.191471 11.056686
2025-06-01 0.054789 0.091245 0.161387 0.326454 0.789703 2.479962 15.170296
2025-06-08 0.050726 0.085656 0.154271 0.320623 0.809730 2.743627 20.336335
2025-06-15 0.048436 0.083274 0.153605 0.330998 0.886688 3.348224 33.556355
2025-06-22 0.045024 0.078356 0.146910 0.324610 0.906713 3.709473 47.638213
2025-06-29 0.042812 0.075606 0.144580 0.329446 0.969757 4.404641 81.274849
2025-07-06 0.040194 0.071768 0.139317 0.325067 0.997150 4.934019 127.554118
2025-07-13 0.038493 0.069659 0.137733 0.330961 1.069689 5.927023 257.157198
2025-07-20 0.037120 0.068098 0.137221 0.340005 1.162063 7.311932 650.574706
2025-07-27 0.035759 0.066428 0.136229 0.347427 1.253067 8.970579 2084.501569
2025-08-03 0.034612 0.065116 0.135942 0.357154 1.363413 11.270891 12914.625321
2025-08-10 0.033278 0.063270 0.134084 0.361292 1.449112 13.673952 262629.913112
2025-08-17 0.031940 0.061301 0.131678 0.363075 1.524758 16.376305 NaN
2025-08-24 0.030517 0.059028 0.128223 0.360427 1.574116 18.980017 NaN